Ural 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.42
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
5.24
6+ Goals
10%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.92
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
11%
5.3
X/2
12%
5.68
X/X
10%
3.82
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.36
2/X
9%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -21%
1.31/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.07
-9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
22.4 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
02.09.2023 Ural Ural 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS
17.09.2022 Ural Ural 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
13.03.2022 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
24.10.2021 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.74 xG 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
173 Passes 180
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ural vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural squeezed past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Ural made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ural had 52% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 48%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.74 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Ural and 1.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Ural vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Ural 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ural 36%, draw 28%, FC Akhmat Grozny 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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