IK Brage 2-2 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Jun 2024

IK Brage
2-2 HT 1-1
Gefle
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Brage vs Gefle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
19%
3.86
X/2
6%
11.85
X/X
11%
6.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.35
2/2
6%
8.79
2/X
7%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Gefle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
2.06/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.96
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

IK Brage vs Gefle Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gefle
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Gefle Gefle 2-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
19.05.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
20.08.2018 Gefle Gefle 0-2 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.04.2018 IK Brage IK Brage 4-2 HT 2-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
09.06.2004 Gefle Gefle 2-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage and Gefle shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IK Brage at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for IK Brage and 1.40 for Gefle.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Gefle?

IK Brage 2-2 Gefle in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 55%, draw 26%, Gefle 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Brage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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