Helsingborgs IF 1-0 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
19%
4.44
X/2
8%
8.21
X/X
7%
4.93
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
5.91
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.47/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.33
-11% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Varbergs
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.01.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 2-3 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF HAZ
10.03.2013 Varbergs Varbergs 0-5 HT 0-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helsingborgs IF
1-0
AWAY Varbergs
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF nicked a narrow win over Varbergs 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Helsingborgs IF as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Helsingborgs IF had 61% of the ball to Varbergs's 39%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Helsingborgs IF had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 1.00 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Varbergs?

Helsingborgs IF 1-0 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 47%, draw 27%, Varbergs 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helsingborgs IF), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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