Varbergs 2-3 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
10.03.2013 Varbergs Varbergs 0-5 HT 0-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇK
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF squeezed past Varbergs 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Helsingborgs IF?

Varbergs 2-3 Helsingborgs IF in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 43%, draw 30%, Helsingborgs IF 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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