Dandenong City 7-1 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.89
Over 2.5
72%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.5
No
33%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
28%
Under 2.5
31%
-3.0pp
72%
Over 2.5
69%
+3.0pp
67%
BTTS Yes
62%
+4.6pp
33%
BTTS No
38%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 22%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.38/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.35
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Moreland City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.03.2024 Moreland City Moreland City 1-2 HT 0-2 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City swept aside Moreland City 7-1. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dandenong City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Moreland City?

Dandenong City 7-1 Moreland City in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 54%, draw 23%, Moreland City 23%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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