Heidelberg United 1-1 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

Heidelberg United
1-1 HT 0-0
Avondale Heights
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidelberg United v Avondale Heights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.29/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.35
+4% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.86 xG 2.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
199 Passes 315
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
15.07.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
15.04.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 8-2 HT 5-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
14.08.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-4 HT 0-3 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
07.05.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-3 HT 0-2 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
23.05.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United and Avondale Heights shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heidelberg United and 2.50 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights?

Heidelberg United 1-1 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 37%, draw 26%, Avondale Heights 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Heidelberg United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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