Östers 2-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
13%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.91
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
11%
6.05
X/2
14%
5.8
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.66
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 40%
-30% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
0.97/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.98
-22% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
Crosses 18.9
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.02.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
17.02.2018 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
23.09.2014 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
23.05.2014 Östers Östers 2-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
09.09.2007 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
27.05.2007 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-1 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
2-2
AWAY IK Sirius
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Östers vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers and IK Sirius shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IK Sirius at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Östers had 42% of the ball to IK Sirius's 58%, shots finished 13-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Östers and 1.33 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Östers vs IK Sirius?

Östers 2-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Östers 31%, draw 25%, IK Sirius 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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