IK Sirius 0-3 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.00
-23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +69%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Östers
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
17.02.2018 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
23.09.2014 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
23.05.2014 Östers Östers 2-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
09.09.2007 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
27.05.2007 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-1 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
0-3
AWAY Östers
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers ran out comfortable winners over IK Sirius 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IK Sirius at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 47% of the ball to Östers's 53%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, IK Sirius had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for IK Sirius and 1.00 for Östers.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Östers?

IK Sirius 0-3 Östers in the Sweden - Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 43%, draw 29%, Östers 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✗ BTTS Yes
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