IK Brage 0-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
51%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No OUR CALL
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 30% vs market 18.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.3pp
51%
Away Win
67%
-16.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 5
22.02.2020 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Brage
0-1
AWAY Elfsborg
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg edged past IK Brage 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, IK Brage had 51% of the ball to Elfsborg's 49%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Elfsborg?

IK Brage 0-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 23%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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