IK Oddevold 2-2 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.18
Draw
18%
4.81
Away OUR CALL
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Djurgarden win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+2.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
68%
Away Win
71%
-2.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 75%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.30/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.01/0.61
+80% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +17%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
206 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Oddevold
2-2
AWAY Djurgarden
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold and Djurgarden shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Djurgarden at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, IK Oddevold had 35% of the ball to Djurgarden's 65%, shots finished 7-18.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Djurgarden?

IK Oddevold 2-2 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 14%, draw 18%, Djurgarden 68%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Djurgarden), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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