Brommapojkarna 3-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
57%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
14%
7.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 24% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Brommapojkarna win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.43/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.71
-43% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2022 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 3-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
19.07.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
28.09.2019 Örgryte Örgryte 3-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
23.06.2019 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
09.08.2017 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
08.04.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 3-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
3-0
AWAY Örgryte
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna swept aside Örgryte 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brommapojkarna as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 48% of the ball to Örgryte's 52%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brommapojkarna and 0.83 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Örgryte?

Brommapojkarna 3-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 57%, draw 20%, Örgryte 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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