Gefle 0-5 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
16.01
Draw
19%
7.13
Away OUR CALL
63%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.53
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.64
2-3 Goals
43%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
5.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Mjallby win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
4%
+13.9pp
19%
Draw
11%
+8.5pp
63%
Away Win
86%
-22.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+16.9pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 91%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.33
-100% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +114%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
232 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mjallby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
04.08.2014 Gefle Gefle 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
30.03.2014 Mjallby Mjallby 2-2 HT 2-2 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
11.08.2013 Gefle Gefle 2-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.04.2013 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
23.09.2012 Gefle Gefle 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.05.2012 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
0-5
AWAY Mjallby
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby ran out comfortable winners over Gefle 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gefle had 44% of the ball to Mjallby's 56%, shots finished 4-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gefle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gefle and 0.67 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Mjallby?

Gefle 0-5 Mjallby in the Sweden - Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Gefle 17%, draw 19%, Mjallby 63%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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