Criciuma vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BRCAT1
0-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BRCAT1
2-2
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BRCAT1
0-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BRCAT1
Criciuma 1-2 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Avai edged past Criciuma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Criciuma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Criciuma had 63% of the ball to Avai's 37%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.71 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Criciuma.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Criciuma and 0.67 for Avai.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Avai?
Criciuma 1-2 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 44%, draw 29%, Avai 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.