Al Kahrabaa 4-1 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 39%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.61/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+105% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kahrabaa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Karma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.02.2025 Al Karma 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Kahrabaa vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kahrabaa ran out comfortable winners over Al Karma 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Kahrabaa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Kahrabaa vs Al Karma?

Al Kahrabaa 4-1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kahrabaa vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Kahrabaa 32%, draw 28%, Al Karma 40%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Karma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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