Naft Maysan 3-1 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.03
No
64%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
45%
-9.6pp
64%
BTTS No
55%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.34/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.44
+57% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +131%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan saw off Al Najaf 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Naft Maysan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Najaf?

Naft Maysan 3-1 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 34%, draw 29%, Al Najaf 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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