Rosenborg 1-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 29% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.5
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
16%
5.9
X/2
14%
6.09
X/X
14%
5.61
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
13%
3.68
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.49/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.31
+0% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.4 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Viking
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.88 xG 2.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 422
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
30.06.2024 Viking Viking 4-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
24.03.2024 Viking Viking 5-0 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg HAZ
03.12.2023 Viking Viking 1-5 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
10.04.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
12.03.2023 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-1
AWAY Viking
0.97 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
358 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg and Viking couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 55% of the ball to Viking's 45%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.97 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rosenborg and 2.17 for Viking.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Viking?

Rosenborg 1-1 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 38%, draw 28%, Viking 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosenborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Under 2.5
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