Rosenborg 2-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.62
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
30%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.3
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
15%
5.66
X/2
13%
6.24
X/X
11%
5.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
24%
3.79
2/X
5%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.54/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.23
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.2 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Viking
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.80 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 415
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2024 Viking Viking 4-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
24.03.2024 Viking Viking 5-0 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg HAZ
03.12.2023 Viking Viking 1-5 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
10.04.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
12.03.2023 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOK
04.09.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-1 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
2-1
AWAY Viking
2.29 xG 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg edged past Viking 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Viking at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Rosenborg had 42% of the ball to Viking's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.29 to 0.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rosenborg's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rosenborg and 2.17 for Viking.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Viking?

Rosenborg 2-1 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 33%, draw 24%, Viking 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viking) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
18 Aug 2024
15:30 Fredrikstad vs Brann Analysis →
18:00 KFUM Oslo vs Tromsö Analysis →
18:00 HamKam vs Odds BK Analysis →
18:00 Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund Analysis →