KFUM Oslo 0-1 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.64
Over 2.5
32%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
4.42
6+ Goals
6%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 39% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.1
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.15
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
8%
6.73
X/X
17%
3.91
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
14%
5.22
2/X
3%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.8pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 31%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
2.16/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
+24% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
29.3 Crosses 13.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Tromsö
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 2.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
339 Passes 456
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 1-2 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
17.10.2020 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
08.09.2020 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
0-1
AWAY Tromsö
0.55 xG 0.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
504 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö nicked a narrow win over KFUM Oslo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KFUM Oslo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 57% of the ball to Tromsö's 43%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.55 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KFUM Oslo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.00 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Tromsö?

KFUM Oslo 0-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 44%, draw 30%, Tromsö 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KFUM Oslo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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