Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
10%
4.3
X/2
9%
9.13
X/X
11%
6.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.05
2/2
13%
6.11
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.90/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.45
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.6 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haugesund
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
378 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
30.04.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
08.10.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-0 HT 3-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
24.07.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 3-1 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.09.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
16.05.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2-2
AWAY Haugesund
1.10 xG 2.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
356 Passes 365
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 and Haugesund shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 49% of the ball to Haugesund's 51%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.10 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.00 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund?

Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 50%, draw 22%, Haugesund 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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