Fredrikstad 0-4 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
13%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.27
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
13%
6.28
X/2
19%
5.18
X/X
7%
4.57
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.26
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.5
Value flag · 2/X at 12.5 — our 11% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.75/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.25
+2% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
22.1 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brann
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.11 xG 1.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
78 Passes 603
39% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 62
6 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Brann Brann 0-2 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
22.10.2022 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-3 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR1
30.06.2022 Brann Brann 6-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
21.05.2022 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
14.09.2015 Brann Brann 5-1 HT 4-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
06.04.2015 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
0-4
AWAY Brann
1.10 xG 1.20
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
223 Passes 600
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann swept aside Fredrikstad 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Brann made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 33% of the ball to Brann's 67%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.10 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fredrikstad and 3.00 for Brann.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Fredrikstad 0-4 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 33%, draw 28%, Brann 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
18 Aug 2024
18:00 KFUM Oslo vs Tromsö Analysis →
18:00 HamKam vs Odds BK Analysis →
18:00 Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund Analysis →
20:15 Rosenborg vs Viking Analysis →