Tromsö 1-2 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.76
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
10%
4.24
X/2
12%
7.01
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.54
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.44/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.28
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +108%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.9 Crosses 8.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
0W-2D-0L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
17.10.2020 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
08.09.2020 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-2
AWAY KFUM Oslo
2.31 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
456 Passes 339
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo edged past Tromsö 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tromsö at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tromsö had 55% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 45%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.31 to 0.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tromsö.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tromsö and 1.00 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs KFUM Oslo?

Tromsö 1-2 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 41%, draw 29%, KFUM Oslo 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tromsö), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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