Brann 1-1 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.5
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
20.5
X/1
25%
3.61
X/2
8%
17.2
X/X
8%
8.07
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
8%
12.45
2/X
8%
20.5
Value flag · 1/X at 20.5 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.4pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.22/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.70
-20% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
43.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.5 Crosses 15.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Haugesund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
399 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
10.04.2023 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
12.03.2023 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOK
28.08.2021 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-2 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
24.06.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
07.11.2020 Brann Brann 1-2 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
1-1
AWAY Haugesund
1.78 xG 0.49
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
447 Passes 199
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
59 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brann vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann and Haugesund couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brann had 66% of the ball to Haugesund's 34%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.78 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brann and 1.17 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Brann vs Haugesund?

Brann 1-1 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brann 53%, draw 24%, Haugesund 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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