Viking 2-0 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.06
2-3 Goals
38%
2.32
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
15%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.45
X/1
17%
4.01
X/2
8%
14.6
X/X
8%
8.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
17.6
2/2
10%
9.18
2/X
7%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.6 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
2.01/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.79
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
26.1 Crosses 15.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.98 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
341 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2022 Viking Viking 1-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOK
31.08.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-1 HT 2-1 Viking Viking NOR
17.07.2022 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
28.11.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-3 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
08.08.2021 Viking Viking 3-2 HT 2-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
12.09.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-5 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
2-0
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.13 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
539 Passes 319
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Viking vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking saw off Kristiansund BK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viking had 61% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 39%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.13 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Viking and 1.67 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Viking vs Kristiansund BK?

Viking 2-0 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Viking 55%, draw 22%, Kristiansund BK 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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