Sandefjord 2-1 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 13 Jul 2024

Sandefjord
2-1 HT 1-0
Bodo/Glimt
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.99
2-3 Goals
40%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
5.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.02
1/2
8%
19.1
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
9%
10.8
X/2
11%
4.18
X/X
9%
6.92
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.95
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.9
Value flag · 2/X at 14.9 — our 9% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-6.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandefjord v Bodo/Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
0.96/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.09
+22% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
16.3 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.83 xG 2.32
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 495
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.05.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-1 HT 1-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
21.10.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-3 HT 4-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
23.07.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-5 HT 2-3 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
09.10.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
10.04.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
31.10.2021 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord nicked a narrow win over Bodo/Glimt 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bodo/Glimt at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sandefjord and 2.83 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?

Sandefjord 2-1 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 25%, draw 24%, Bodo/Glimt 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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