Odds BK 1-2 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.56
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.73
X/X
8%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.58
2/X
11%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odds BK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.38/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.12
+18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
15.5 Crosses 20.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odds BK
5W-0D-1L
AWAY HamKam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
408 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 2-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
25.06.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
17.09.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 2-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
28.05.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 0-2 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
10.09.2006 HamKam HamKam 3-0 HT 2-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
07.05.2006 Odds BK Odds BK 3-0 HT 3-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odds BK
1-2
AWAY HamKam
1.61 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
329 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odds BK vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam edged past Odds BK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and on the day HamKam made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Odds BK had 50% of the ball to HamKam's 50%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.61 to 0.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Odds BK.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odds BK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Odds BK and 0.67 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Odds BK vs HamKam?

Odds BK 1-2 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odds BK vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Odds BK 37%, draw 25%, HamKam 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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