Landskrona 1-0 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.6
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
24%
4.88
X/2
7%
7.7
X/X
8%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.8
2/2
12%
5.28
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 13% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
48%
+7.4pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.9pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landskrona EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.62/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.97
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landskrona
1W-2D-3L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
471 Passes 342
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ
21.11.2024 Landskrona Landskrona 2-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
21.08.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
10.04.2021 Landskrona Landskrona 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
15.11.2020 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ3
27.06.2020 Landskrona Landskrona 1-4 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Landskrona
1-0
AWAY IFK Varnamo
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Landskrona vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landskrona squeezed past IFK Varnamo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Landskrona as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Landskrona had 53% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 47%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Landskrona and 1.50 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Landskrona vs IFK Varnamo?

Landskrona 1-0 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landskrona vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Landskrona 56%, draw 19%, IFK Varnamo 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Landskrona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Landskrona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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