Union La Calera 4-0 Santiago Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 28 Jun 2026

Union La Calera
4-0 HT 1-0
Santiago Wanderers
📅28/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2026

Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
31%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+13.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union La Calera v Santiago Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Santiago Wanderers EU Bookmakers 20%
-80% / -80% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.00/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/3.15
-100% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -46%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
– Crosses 21.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Santiago Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.07 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.09.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-1 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİL
12.04.2021 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
03.01.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 3-0 HT 2-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİL
15.10.2020 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
22.12.2017 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera Şili - Play-off 1/2
15.12.2017 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-1 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers Şili - Play-off 1/2
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera ran out comfortable winners over Santiago Wanderers 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union La Calera as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union La Calera and 0.50 for Santiago Wanderers.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?

Union La Calera 4-0 Santiago Wanderers in the Chile - Cup on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 47%, draw 22%, Santiago Wanderers 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ BTTS Yes
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