Ürdün 1-3 Arjantin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
16.01
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
76%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.33
Over 2.5
64%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.6
No
50%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
34.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
1/X
3%
34.0
X/1
3%
34.0
X/2
19%
3.55
X/X
8%
10.1
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
48%
1.26
2/X
3%
34.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
4%
+6.9pp
14%
Draw
11%
+3.0pp
76%
Away Win
86%
-10.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
39%
-3.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
61%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
+16.0pp
50%
BTTS No
66%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ürdün EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin EU Bookmakers 91%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.63/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/0.57
+63% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.2
5.0 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ürdün
1-3
AWAY Arjantin
0.76 xG 2.13
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
228 Passes 737
80% Pass Accuracy 92%
4 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ürdün vs Arjantin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin saw off Ürdün 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ürdün had 27% of the ball to Arjantin's 73%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.76 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Ürdün vs Arjantin?

Ürdün 1-3 Arjantin in the World Cup on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ürdün vs Arjantin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Ürdün 10%, draw 14%, Arjantin 76%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✓ Over 2.5
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