Güney Afrika 0-1 Kanada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
11%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
7.67
1/2
4%
28.0
1/X
4%
15.6
X/1
19%
8.98
X/2
20%
4.27
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.42
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Afrika
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kanada
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.11.2007 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 2-0 HT 2-0 Kanada Kanada HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
0-1
AWAY Kanada
0.14 xG 1.38
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
466 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Kanada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada nicked a narrow win over Güney Afrika 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanada as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 58% of the ball to Kanada's 42%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.14 to 1.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kanada's control.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Kanada?

Güney Afrika 0-1 Kanada in the World Cup on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Kanada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 28%, draw 23%, Kanada 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kanada) ✓ Under 2.5
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