Irtysh Pavlodar 1-2 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.16/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.05
-12% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kaisar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
08.03.2020 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 1-0 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
19.10.2019 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 2-1 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
24.05.2015 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 4-2 HT 3-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
FAQ Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaisar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kaisar edged past Irtysh Pavlodar 2-1 away from home in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28 Jun 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Irtysh Pavlodar have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Irtysh Pavlodar and 1.33 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaisar?

Irtysh Pavlodar 1-2 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irtysh Pavlodar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Irtysh Pavlodar 47%, draw 28%, Kaisar 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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