Tobol 3-1 Altay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 Jun 2026

Tobol
3-1 HT 1-1
Altay
📅28/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Tobol vs Altay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobol v Altay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Altay EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.77/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.26
+5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
252 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Altay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol got the better of Altay 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Altay?

Tobol 3-1 Altay in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Altay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tobol 54%, draw 27%, Altay 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
28 Jun 2026
15:00 Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaisar Analysis →
16:00 Ulytau vs Ordabasy Shymkent Analysis →
17:00 Zhenys vs FC Astana Analysis →