BIT Beijing 1-2 Haimen Codion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BIT Beijing
1-2
AWAY Haimen Codion
1.06 xG 3.23
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
77 Passes 249
49% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BIT Beijing vs Haimen Codion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haimen Codion squeezed past BIT Beijing 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Haimen Codion as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BIT Beijing had 32% of the ball to Haimen Codion's 68%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 1.06 to 3.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Haimen Codion's control.

What was the final score of BIT Beijing vs Haimen Codion?

BIT Beijing 1-2 Haimen Codion in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BIT Beijing vs Haimen Codion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haimen Codion win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split BIT Beijing 25%, draw 26%, Haimen Codion 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haimen Codion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haimen Codion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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