Xian Ronghai 1-0 Taian Tiankuang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.5pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xian Ronghai EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Taian Tiankuang EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xian Ronghai
1-0
AWAY Taian Tiankuang
1.27 xG 0.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
293 Passes 182
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xian Ronghai vs Taian Tiankuang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xian Ronghai squeezed past Taian Tiankuang 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Taian Tiankuang at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Xian Ronghai had 57% of the ball to Taian Tiankuang's 43%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.27 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Xian Ronghai vs Taian Tiankuang?

Xian Ronghai 1-0 Taian Tiankuang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xian Ronghai vs Taian Tiankuang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Taian Tiankuang win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Xian Ronghai 27%, draw 28%, Taian Tiankuang 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Taian Tiankuang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taian Tiankuang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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