Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-3
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Sport Recife
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
BR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
2-2
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
Sport Recife 3-1 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife got the better of Ponte Preta 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sport Recife as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 59% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 41%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.15 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sport Recife and 1.50 for Ponte Preta.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta?
Sport Recife 3-1 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 49%, draw 30%, Ponte Preta 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.