CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-2 HT 2-1
Spartak Varna
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA 1948 Sofia v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.78/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Varna
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.05.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-3 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia and Spartak Varna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 36%, draw 31%, Spartak Varna 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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