Forge 3-0 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.1pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.18
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.6 Crosses 9.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
447 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
30.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-1 Forge Forge CAPL
20.08.2023 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
01.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
22.04.2023 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
09.10.2022 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
3-0
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.94 xG 1.08
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 11
252 Passes 522
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forge vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge swept aside HFX Wanderers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Forge had 34% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 66%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.94 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forge and 1.33 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Forge 3-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Forge 42%, draw 27%, HFX Wanderers 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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