Zhetysu 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
27%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.5pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.93/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.84
-5% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
01.06.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 3-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
01.10.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.03.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
27.06.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
19.04.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-4 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
22.10.2020 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu and Ordabasy Shymkent shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zhetysu and 2.83 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Zhetysu 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 20%, draw 31%, Ordabasy Shymkent 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
28 Jul 2024
18:00 Aktobe vs Kyzyl-Zhar Analysis →