JDFS Alberts 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.46
Over 2.5
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.12/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/3.48
+43% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDFS Alberts
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.11.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 6-2 HT 4-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
30.07.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-3 HT 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts got the better of Progress / AFA Olaine 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for JDFS Alberts and 1.50 for Progress / AFA Olaine.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

JDFS Alberts 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 57%, draw 20%, Progress / AFA Olaine 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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