Smiltene 0-3 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

Smiltene
0-3 HT 0-1
Skanste
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Smiltene vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
15%
+13.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-17.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Smiltene v Skanste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 70%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.22/2.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.98
+23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Smiltene vs Skanste Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Skanste
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Skanste Skanste 3-0 HT 2-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
14.04.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 1-2 HT 1-2 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste swept aside Smiltene 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Smiltene and 2.50 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Skanste?

Smiltene 0-3 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 28%, draw 23%, Skanste 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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