Hegelmann II 1-0 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.99/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.04
-26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
15.04.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-2 HT 1-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
1-0
AWAY Panevezys II
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 19
13 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II nicked a narrow win over Panevezys II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Panevezys II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 47% of the ball to Panevezys II's 53%, shots finished 18-19.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Panevezys II?

Hegelmann II 1-0 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panevezys II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 28%, draw 29%, Panevezys II 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panevezys II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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