FC Sochi 1-2 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.9pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 16%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.46
+137% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2024 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
25.10.2017 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk nicked a narrow win over FC Sochi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Sochi carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SKA Khabarovsk led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Sochi and 1.50 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk?

FC Sochi 1-2 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 55%, draw 25%, SKA Khabarovsk 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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