Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.84
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
20.08.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-2 HT 1-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
24.07.2022 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-3 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0-1
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva nicked a narrow win over Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day FK Rodina Moskva made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 51% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 49%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.33 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 33%, draw 29%, FK Rodina Moskva 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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