Radnicki Nis 1-0 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
0.70/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.94
-42% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.4 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.75 xG 1.72
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
196 Passes 445
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
03.08.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.11.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
31.07.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
13.05.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 2-0 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
06.12.2021 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
1-0
AWAY Backa Topola
1.15 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
274 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis nicked a narrow win over Backa Topola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Radnicki Nis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 50% of the ball to Backa Topola's 50%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.15 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Radnicki Nis and 1.67 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Backa Topola?

Radnicki Nis 1-0 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 32%, draw 28%, Backa Topola 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Backa Topola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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