Spartak Subotica 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
0.87/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.95
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.0 Crosses 19.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.91 xG 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
30.09.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-3 HT 0-2 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
04.02.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
07.08.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
25.02.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
18.09.2021 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-1
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.39 xG 1.43
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 473
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica and Cukaricki Stankom couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cukaricki Stankom at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 37% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 63%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.39 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spartak Subotica and 2.33 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Spartak Subotica 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 28%, draw 25%, Cukaricki Stankom 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✗ BTTS No
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