Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Universitatea Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.61/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.84
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.5 Crosses 13.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2025 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 2-1 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
14.03.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
05.02.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
22.09.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
26.05.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
09.02.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-2 HT 2-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2-1
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
2.23 xG 0.90
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
437 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova edged past Universitatea Cluj 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 62% of the ball to Universitatea Cluj's 38%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.23 to 0.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universitatea Craiova's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.00 for Universitatea Cluj.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj?

Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Universitatea Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 42%, draw 25%, Universitatea Cluj 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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