Drita 2-1 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 28 Jul 2026

📅28/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 34% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drita EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 16%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/4.00
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drita
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Floriana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2026 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 0-0 Drita Drita AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drita
2-1
AWAY Floriana
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Drita vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drita nicked a narrow win over Floriana 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Drita as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Drita vs Floriana?

Drita 2-1 Floriana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drita vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drita win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Drita 61%, draw 21%, Floriana 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drita) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drita) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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