Riga FC 5-2 Vardar Skopje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 28 Jul 2026

📅28/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vardar Skopje EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
63.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
42.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vardar Skopje
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2026 Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 2-3 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
5-2
AWAY Vardar Skopje
42 Total Shots 5
18 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Riga FC vs Vardar Skopje
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over Vardar Skopje 5-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 28 Jul 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, shots finished 42-5.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Vardar Skopje?

Riga FC 5-2 Vardar Skopje in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Vardar Skopje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 61%, draw 20%, Vardar Skopje 19%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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