Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 28 Aug 2025

📅28/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.53/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.47
+9% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-3D-2L
AWAY America de Cali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
226 Passes 336
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-4 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
18.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
31.10.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOLK
19.08.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-2 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
16.02.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.11.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga squeezed past America de Cali 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.33 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Cup on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 45%, draw 28%, America de Cali 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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