Atletico Nacional 4-0 Deportes Quindio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 28 Aug 2025

📅28/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.29
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
-1.9pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.3pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Quindio EU Bookmakers 12%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.17/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.06
+10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportes Quindio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.04 xG 0.99
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
429 Passes 154
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Quindio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional swept aside Deportes Quindio 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Quindio?

Atletico Nacional 4-0 Deportes Quindio in the Colombia - Cup on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Quindio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 71%, draw 16%, Deportes Quindio 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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