Sassuolo (K) 1-3 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 84%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.3 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.77
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
236 Passes 362
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-4 HT 0-3 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
13.04.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
14.01.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1-3
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.26 xG 0.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
208 Passes 283
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) saw off Sassuolo (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Milano (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 45% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassuolo (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 1.00 for Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 1-3 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 24%, draw 23%, Inter Milano (K) 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Milano (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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